程阳：死亡的几率VS大英彩票的几率

Risk of death compared with winning the lottery

Clinical bottom line

The chances of dying between Friday and Monday is 1100 times more than that of winning the lottery.

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Source of data

• UK National Statistics (www.statistics.gov.uk)
• UK Government actuaries Department (www.gad.gov.uk/)

What the sources tell us

• Total number of deaths in the UK per year = 571,911
• Total number of deaths in the UK per day = 571,911/365 = 1,567
• Population of the UK = 60,587,000
• Odds of dying in the UK per day = 1 in (60,587,000/1,567) = 1 in 38,667
• Odds of dying over three days (Fri, Sat, Sun) = 1 in 38,667 x 3 = 1 in 12,889

Give us the odds

• Odds of dying in the UK per day = 1 in (60,587,000/1,567) = 1 in 38,667
• Odds of dying over three days (Fri, Sat, Sun)