[转载]Buffett/Jayhawk Q&A
2012-01-10 21:49阅读:
(
在管我财博客上看到此文,偶尔得空,就把前面的一小部分翻译了下。我的英文水平很烂,真不好意思贴出来,呵呵,指正的可以,拍砖的不要哈)
Buffett/Jayhawk
Q&A
By
mhirschey
July
13,
2005
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I took a bunch
of students to
Omaha for a
Q&A with Warren
recently, and I
thought you might
be interested in
the back and
forth.
Berkshire Hathaway
Warren Buffett Q&A
May 6, 2005
Question: According to a
business week report
published in 1999,
you were quoted
as saying 'it's
a huge structural
advantage not to
have a lot
of money. I
think I could
make you 50%
a year on
$1 million. No,
I know I
could. I guarantee
that.' First, would
you say the
same thing today?
Second, since that
statement infers that
you would invest
in smaller companies,
other than investing
in small-caps, what
else would you
do differently?
问:你在1999年商业周报上提及:“钱不多是一个巨大的结构优势,我认为我能用1百万给你一年赚50%。是的,我知道我可以,我保证。”首先,你今天还会这样说吗?第二,由于你提到除了投资小型股意外,你还会投资于更小的公司,这两者有何区别?”
Yes, I would still
say the same
thing today. In
fact, we are
still earning those
types of returns
on some of
our smaller investments.
The best decade
was the 1950s;
I was earning
50% plus returns
with small amounts
of capital. I
could do the
same thing today
with smaller amounts.
It would perhaps
even be easier
to make that
much money in
today's environment
because information is
easier to access.
答:是的,我今天还会这样说。实际上,我们现在还在我们的一些很小的投资上获得了这样的回报。最好的时期是50年代,我用很小的资本获得了50%的收益率,今天用很小的资本,我可以同样做到。而且今天可能更容易赚到那么多钱,因为信息发达。
You have to turn
over a lot
of rocks to
find those little
anomalies. You have
to find the
companies that are
off the map
- way off
the map. You
may find local
companies that have
nothing wrong with
them at all.
A company that
I found, Western
Insurance Securities, was
trading for $3/share
when it was
earning $20/share!! I
tried to buy
up as much
of it as
possible. No one
will tell you
about these businesses.
You have to
find them.
你必须翻开一块又一块岩石,去找出那些小的反常案例,你必须寻找到那些不在地图上标注的公司。你可以找到并没有犯错误的地区小公司,比如我找到的一个,西部保险证券,每股价格$3,每股收益高达$20!我拼命地买。没人告诉你这些,你得自己去寻找他们。
Other examples: Genesee
Valley Gas, public
utility trading at
a P/E of 2,
GEICO, Union Street
Railway of New
Bedford selling at
$30 when $100/share
is sitting in
cash, high yield
position in 2002.
No one will
tell you about
these ideas, you
have to find
them.
再比如:Genesee山谷天然气公司,公开交易价格为2倍PE。还有GEICO。还有新贝德福德的联合街道铁路,2002年,每股$100的现金,收益率高,却以$30的价格出售。没人告诉你这些,你得自己去寻找他们。
The answer is still
yes today that
you can still
earn extraordinary
returns on smaller
amounts of capital.
For example, I
wouldn't have had
to buy issue
after issue of
different high yield
bonds. Having a
lot of money
to invest forced
Berkshire to buy
those that were
less attractive. With
less capital, I
could have put
all my money
into the most
attractive issues and
really creamed it.
答案就是,今天你仍旧可以用很小的资本获得超额回报。比如,我不会再购买问题众多的高收益率债券,但现在由于资金量太庞大,伯克希尔被迫购买这些没有什么吸引力的债券。如果只有很小的资本,我会将我所有的钱都投入到最最有吸引力的机会中。
I know more about
business and investing
today, but my
returns have continued
to decline since
the 50's. Money
gets to be
an anchor on
performance. At
Berkshire's size, there
would be no
more than 200
common stocks in
the world that
we could invest
in if we
were running a
mutual fund or
some other kind
of investment
business.
今天,对于商业和投资,我知道得更多,但是我的投资回报从50年代以来持续下降。钱多影响了投资绩效。如果我们运营一支基金或别的投资业务,规模大小类似现在的伯克希尔,那么,世界上不会有超过200支普通股票值得我们投资。
Q: Since Ben Graham
isn't around anymore,
what money managers
do you respect
today? Is there
a Ben Graham
today?
问:由于本格雷厄姆不在了,今天你还尊敬那些资产管理者?今天还有格雷厄姆吗?
You don't need another
Ben Graham. You
don't need another
Moses. There were
only Ten Commandments;
we're still waiting
for the eleventh
(j/k). His investing
philosophy is still
alive and well.
There are disciples
of him around,
but all we
are doing is
parroting. I did
read Phil Fisher
later on,