美元。。。
2009-12-11 23:35阅读：
A friend of mine told me yesterday that
“King” of commodities, Jim Rogers, was interviewed on TV yesterday,
and he said he was long the dollar. Wow。。。OMG。。。I can not remember
when was the last time he called the dollar rally. Do not
get me wrong, I admire Mr. Rogers. That is the reason why
his pictures are included in the picture file of my blog from the
day 1 when this blog was opened to public.
Speaking of the dollar, here is my
analysises in the past for my own record (or yours, lol).
Nov. 13
I had my vertical cycle lines set on the
dollar daily chart and the Wave 5 down was still in process and
headed to the end. The next closest cycle line was around
Nov. 24-25 (1-2 days error is allowed). It would be perfect
for the down move from March this year. Why? It would
be
like this:
“normal” Wave 1+2 = 1 cycle
“fast” Wave 3 = 1 cycle,
“normal” Wave 4 about = < 1
cycle,
“extended” Wave 5 about = > 3 cycles, and
Wave 4+5 = 4 cycles.
What a perfect time cycles!!! What a
set up !!!
Nov. 27
As you can see, the dollar index made its low
at 74.23 on Nov. 25. At the time, I also labeled sub-waves
of Wave 5, and put yellow cycle lines on the chart as internal
cycles of the large Wave 5. As shown in the chart, the last
blue and yellow lines came in together (1-2 days error or apart).
This suggested that an very important bottom was in or very
close.
Nov. 27 Weekly
Nov.
30
I went further in wave labeling as pink
a-e-micro-waves for the 5th of the Wave 5.
Dec 1. UUP (dollar EFT) 60'
Intraday
Bottomed out as you can see my prediction
during the trading hours
Dec 1. UUP
daily Intraday
A note was put on the chart, saying: the
dollar bottomed out on Dec 1.
Dec. 1.
I was confident to put the green up line on
the chart. Everything came together.
Dec.
1
The large wave cycle lines (in blue) and
sub-wave cycle lines (in yellow) were overlapping as the
note said on the chart “… the market produces a
turn”.
After that, everyone knew the rest of story,
Gold topped at 1226 on Dec 3, and the dollar did not make a new
low. And Gold got its violent move down, and lost over $105
in just 4 days.
Dec. 10.
.........................
By the way, during the time I am finished up
this post, I saw the market formed an ending diagnol intraday
around 11AM, so I saved the chart at the time, and post it here.
And now, you know where the market is ....
SPX 12/11 intraday around
11AM
Although I did not post it on time (I said
yesterday that I did not want to write more posts in a while), you
were informed on Wednesday (美股：Are You Ready for 12/10?
周四将是有趣的一天 2009-12-10
05:47:19) 'No one is perfect in
trading the market, ... then Friday’s open must be the
selling point in order to maintain my call for THE top over the
past weekend.'. Even yesterday (美股：What A Day !!!
Tricky Thursday !!!
2009-12-11 06:11:33), I gave a
possibility of Friday's push up as shown by the chart
below.
SPX 15' 12/10
close
SPX 15' 12/11
intraday
Once again, Good Luck to Everyone
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
See you in a while, may be after Xmas, lol,
who knows...
It is so cold today, on the east
coast.
